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Saturday, April 06, 2024
How old is too old?
Josh Barro argues that Justice Sotomayor, aged 70, should retire following the end of the Term so Biden can appoint a younger successor. The merits of urging timed retirements aside, the question becomes how old is too old and how long Justices should serve.
Barros believed that the organized campaign to urge Breyer to retire in 2021 shows that Democrats learned the lesson of Ginsburg's 2014 non-retirement. He expresses disappointment that the resistance to Sotomayor retiring--some frame the resistance to Sotomayor being Latina, which pisses Barro off--shows they have have not learned that lesson.
But Ginsburg was 81 and a cancer survivor in 2014, whereas Sotomayor is 70. Barro downshifts to Scalia--he was 70 when he failed to retire in 2006 in the same circumstance as Ginsburg 8 years later (same-party President, party about to lose Senate) and Republicans avoided a similar fate because of Mitch McConnell and an inside-straight presidential victory. Barro also points to Thurgood Marshall not retiring in 1980, at 72, so Carter could appoint his successor and Obama could have appointed that successor, leaving the Court with a liberal majority through the '90s and '00s.
Sotomayor has been on the Court for 15 years, less than the 18 she would serve under most term-limits proposals (Ginsburg has been on the Court 21 years as of 2014). Marshall had been on the Court for 13 years in 1980. In the name of avoiding judges getting old and dying when the wrong party controls the political branches or being unable to "hold on" until an aligned President returns to office,* we force judges into ever-shorter terms--too short to figure out the job. Or we compel Presidents to appoint ever-younger judges--Barrett will have served 22 years by the time she reaches 70.
[*] For Marshall, the black swan event in terms of modern politics was Republicans getting 12 years in the White House from 1981-93, which Democrats could not pull off after Clinton and Obama. Here is a counter-factual--what if President Dukakis had been able to appoint successors for Brennan and Marshall in 1990?
If we are going to play this game, why stop with Sotomayor? Kagan turns 64 this month--why not urge her to retire so Biden can rewind the clock by an extra 10-15 years? Does 6 years make that big a difference? Sotomayor has some health problems (Kagan does not, as far as we know) but Barro limits them to a passing mention. He argues from age, not health. Maybe we should research justices' family and geneological histories.
Posted by Howard Wasserman on April 6, 2024 at 05:55 PM in Howard Wasserman, Judicial Process, Law and Politics | Permalink
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