« Overturning Twombly and Iqbal | Main | Welcome to the World, Military Commission Reporter »

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

BlackBerry Fines

Maureen Dowd has a column in the New York Times today criticizing the practice of using a cell phone while driving (regardless of whether it is hands-free).  In fact, she begins the column by telling a personal story of how, driving home from visiting her mother in the hospital late at night, she checked her cellphone messages, ran a red light and caused a very minor accident.  And although she swore never to use a cellphone while driving again, she still did.

The rest of the column brings up the recently released research (collected by Public Citizen here) by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) demonstrating that cellphone use drastically increases the chances of an accident, causing drivers to drive as erratically as a drunk person.  The information, collected in 2002 but held back from the public, was obtained pursuant to a FOIA request by Center for Auto Safety and Public Citizen.

There are all sorts of interesting questions revolving around why NHTSA held back its information.  Was it solely because agency heads were unwilling to anger Congress, as has been reported, or did someone else (say, someone in the Bush White House or some interest group) pressure them to quash it?   I leave those juicy questions for another day.

What interested me most was Dowd's final conclusion at the end of the column. 

She begins, "Left, literally to our own devices, we spiral out of control."  Well, that makes sense.  She's saying that people cannot be trusted to make rational decisions about their welfare when cellphones and similar devices, like Blackberrys and computer laptops, mix with decisions about driving.  And driving affects not just our own welfare, but the welfare of others.  So the state should step in to prevent us from hurting ourselves and others by making the use of such devices illegal.  Sounds like the classic argument for criminalizing drunk driving.

But that's not exactly what Dowd says next.  Instead, she argues, "States should outlaw drivers from talking on phones [and using digital devices, except in emergency situations] ...; or at least mandate a $10,000 fine for getting in an accident while phoning or Twittering."(emphasis added)

Now I recognize Dowd is often sarcastic, but today's column was written a very sincere tone, and I get the sense that she really meant this paragraph to read as it does.  That is, she equates a law outlawing driving with such devices with a law that fines drivers $10,000 for getting in an accident while using one of these devices. 

Of course, the two are nowhere near alike.  To begin with, a $10,000 fine is not really a $10,000 penalty because the probability of getting in an accident is likely to be perceived as small.  If the chances of an accident are 1% , then you're talking about a $100 fine.  Would an addict pay $100 to indulge his or her addiction?  I think so.  There's a reason people refer to the ever-popular communication device as a "CrackBerry."

And remember, the costs of getting in an accident aren't just the fines you pay, but also the harm you cause others and yourself.  The physical and emotional costs of a car accident can be tremendous.  If the fear of missing a red light and slamming your car into a pole isn't enough to deter your phone usage while driving, why should we assume that an additional $10,000 per accident will alter someone's conduct?

Now, you might say that the chances of detection even under a scheme that criminalizes driving-and-phoning are no better than under the fine scenario.  Phones can be shoved under seats or thrown in purses.  How often will people really get caught.  And after all, wouldn't most of the penalties under a criminal system be fines too, since we hardly have the resources to start jailing these folks, right?

But there is a huge difference between the designation "criminal" and the designation "subject to at $10,000 fine."  The former causes tremendous collateral consequences, even for misdemeanor convictions, and brings with it a type of condemnation that a $10,000 fine doesn't come close to achieving.  Moreover, and perhaps most important, outlawing driving-while-phoning (and texting-laptopping-blackberrying etc) would allow the state to intervene before an accident occurred.  Just as many DUI's occur in the absence of any accidents, so too might many many DWPs (driving while phoning).

So why then, does Dowd create such a large out?  My guess is that she herself is conflicted (perhaps subconsciously) about the very devices she criticizes.  She knows firsthand that they cause harm, but she isn't quite ready to give them up.  You might call her a hyperbolic discounter -- the costs of giving up the cell phone in the near term overwhelm the costs to her in later periods.  As a result, she promises to never drive while phoning again, but when the opportunity presents itself, as she herself admits: "[O]f course, I did." 

All the more reason, then, to implement an outright ban.

Posted by Miriam Baer on July 22, 2009 at 03:53 PM | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
https://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c6a7953ef0115712fdc44970c

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference BlackBerry Fines:

Comments

In the moments before a crash or near crash, drivers typically spend nearly five seconds looking at their devices — enough time at typical highway speeds to cover more than the length of a football field. Now that's pretty dangerous.

Posted by: Ajlouny | Sep 28, 2009 9:01:50 PM

One final informational followup. Table 2-17 (on page 151) in this comprehensive government publication shows that "crashes" per 100 million miles driven have fallen from 276 in 1994 to 198 in 2006 (latest data available). (In raw numbers, crashes fell from about 6.5 million in 1994 to just under 6 million in 2006.) This data is a little different than the chart I linked to above, I think because it also includes motorcycles, cyclists, and pedestrians.

http://www.bts.gov/publications/national_transportation_statistics/pdf/entire.pdf

One other chilling statistic in here. Fatalities in 2006 per 100 million miles driven in a passenger car: 1. Fatalities in 2006 per 100 million miles driven on a motorcycle. 38!

Posted by: bt | Jul 25, 2009 2:25:04 PM

Dan, I think you're right that the articles talk about fatalities (though I'm pretty sure I read somewhere that overall accident rates have stayed the same too). On the fatality score, though, the statistics seem to be fairly stunning, as this government chart shows:

http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Main/index.aspx

I think it shows that fatalities per 100 million miles driven went from 1.73 in 1994 to 1.27 in 2008 (27% decrease); and fatalities per 100,000 people went from 15.64 to 12.25 (22% decrease).* Those seem like significant decreases, but I won't pretend that I know enough about statistics to make that claim. Looking at the chart as a whole, there appears (again, to my untrained eye) to be a fairly steady downward trend in both metrics. Indeed, overall fatalities dropped about 6% even though total miles driven increased 25% and population increased by 44 million. All of this is post 21-year-old drinking age, too.

This pamphet shows, on the second page, a similar downward trend in the same period for traffic-related injuries:

http://list.nsc.org/defensivedriving/images/uploads/NHTSA_Traffic_Safety_Facts_-_August_2008.pdf

So driving appears to be getting considerably safer even as cell phone use in cars proliferates. Are the supposed "billions" we spend on auto safety and health care -- which we always were spending, of course -- really *that* effective? [Kind of argues against messing with our health care system :)] And, if so, maybe we can afford the luxury of cell phones in cars if driving while using them is still safer than driving has ever been before.

I'm not trying to come off as an advocate in favor of cell phones in cars--I have the standard gut-reaction opposition as most people. But there does seem to be some disconnect between the reality of how dangerous this activity is and the claims that are being made based on the laboratory studies.

So I'm questioning my gut. Or maybe I'm just being contrarian. The one bias I will cop to is a libertarian streak that makes me wary of fines or punishment for this kind of behavior, and even more wary of giving cops yet another excuse to pull over minorities whenever they choose.

*Warning: this is lawyer math.

Posted by: bt | Jul 24, 2009 4:12:58 PM

BT, on your last point, I'm not sure if "auto accidents" have decreased or whether as I recall, the number of deaths arising from auto accidents has largely stayed the same despite population growth. My sense is that it's the latter, and if that's the case, the articles provide a ready explanation: we've been spending billions more each year on auto safety and health care, so that even if the number of accidents goes up (on account of driving while distracted) the lethality of those accidents goes down.

Miriam, on your earlier point to me, I think one issue is that in most of America (outside Brooklyn/Manhattan) there aren't really good (or financially feasible) alternatives to getting around w/o a car. I think we might otherwise agree broadly on open-mindedness toward a ban or high penalty. An outright ban of course should leave room for emergency/necessity claims. If it were a fine that were used as the penalty for violation of the ban, well, as you know, my sense is that it should probably be adjusted for the individual's net wealth...see "Retributive Damages."

Posted by: Dan Markel | Jul 23, 2009 2:21:00 PM

I'm less certain about what we as a society will decide. Right now, if we look at how people are voting with their ears, it would seem to be a landslide in favor of allowing cell phone use -- at least hands-free -- in cars. Maybe people will be overwhelmed by statistics over time, and maybe the culture will change. But maybe not. I don't find the evidence against cell phones in cars overwhelming (and I am not someone who uses my cell phone while driving -- because I almost never use my cell phone at all -- so my bias is definitely in favor of banning them). Particularly striking is the fact that as cell phone use has exploded, auto accidents have decreased. There are plausible explanations to explain this paradox, but it raises the plausible hypothesis that driving while talking on a cell phone just isn't as dangerous as laboratory testing seems to indicate.

Posted by: bt | Jul 23, 2009 12:09:11 PM

It seems to me that there is a difference between an argument that claims cellphones and similar devices might actually improve our driving (the "dopamine squirt" suggestion that Dan floated), and an argument that cellphones and similar devices used while driving allow us to multitask and therefore get more things done (such as the judge who heard the TRO on his cellphone while driving). I won't address the first, because I assume that as the research comes out, we will likely conclude that the dopamine benefits, to the extent they exist, are likely outweighed by their drawbacks.

The multitasking argument is slightly different. Yes, you can get more things done if you drive and do something else at the same time. You could also get more things done if you cut down your travel time between locations, by speeding or refusing to follow certain traffic signs such as stop signs. But we again, as a society, have decided that the costs of accidents from speeding and ignoring stop signs outweigh the benefits of additional productivity. My guess is that at some point, we will make similar decisions about these devices.

Posted by: Miriam Baer | Jul 23, 2009 11:21:08 AM

One topic I don't see anyone talking about in this interesting debate are the benefits -- in efficiency, in connectivity, even in (as Prof. Merkel notes) "dopamine squirts" -- that accompany cell phone use in cars. This is the major difference between drunk driving and driving while distracted: it's hard to come up with any defensible benefit for driving while drunk, but it's conceivable that driving while distracted has tangible benefits to society. (For example, while I was clerking my judge heard a TRO on his cellphone while driving along the highway because railroad workers were threatening to go on strike immediately.) And of course driving itself is very dangerous--it kills thousands and thousands of people every year--yet we accept those costs because of the gains in efficiency, etc. I don't know why the same analysis wouldn't at least potentially apply to driving while talking on a cell phone. Instead, the dominant response seems to be a sort of knee-jerk moralism that condemns driving while distracted as an unforgivable sin. Of course, a facile repsonse would be that no conversation is worth risking a human life. But that response would seem apply equally to banning driving altogether, since it could just as easily be said that no amount of time savings or efficiency is worth risking a human life. The fact is that we risk human lives in the name of efficiency all the time. It's the amount of risk versus the amount of efficiency that matters. Right?

Posted by: bt | Jul 23, 2009 10:43:34 AM

Then again, Dowd is an idiot.

Posted by: anon | Jul 22, 2009 7:53:41 PM

But Dan, doesn't that beg the question: if you are so tired,bored, or fidgety, why drive at all? Why not carpool, or take a bus, or a taxi? I know, not everyone can afford these options, but the individuals that Dowd cites seem to be exactly those persons who could afford alternative modes of transportation if they couldn't concentrate long enough to make sure they don't run a red light or hit someone.

Posted by: Miriam Baer | Jul 22, 2009 5:44:21 PM

I've been thinking about this issue a bit more lately too, and I wonder if there's a bit of a collective action problem here that perhaps a ban or more regulation might fix. Specifically, before the data overload in the NYT the last few days, I would relish the time to use my bluetooth crackberry in the car to make calls, especially on long drives, and even on some short ones. It was the best time to "reach out" in a world that feels ever expanding and overwhelming; it was, in other words, a time to return calls and get things done b/c if that time wasn't used, it would have to be precious time that could be spent more profitably writing law review articles...
But if there's an outright ban or some heightened penalty that triggers a new norm cascade against calling while driving, maybe it will mean that we will all mutually disarm (ie., make fewer phone calls) so that some of us don't feel as guilty about the gains to those who use the car-time to connect/do errands, etc. In other words, the analogy I'm thinking of is Lessig's analysis of hockey players who agree to all wear helmets...but no single one will be keen to do so in the absence of concerted action.

That's one absurd line of thinking I've had. Here's the other, and perhaps it's less absurd: the research Dowd and the NYT articles talk a little about the dopamine squirt that comes with checking one's crackberry or taking/making a call. I wonder if there's a countervailing cost (in terms of safety, not hedonic pleasure) to denying these dopamine squirts. It would be hard to measure, but it seems that the cost-benefit analysis of these phone bans should consider whether more drivers are more alert b/c they're not sleepy and bored by just listening to the radio or the silence.

Posted by: Dan Markel | Jul 22, 2009 4:54:02 PM

The comments to this entry are closed.